Friday, July 2, 2010

Spy Head and Shoulder follow up


The spy head and shoulders pattern I mentioned in may here has been playing out.Will it follow thru with targets now,only Mr.Market can say.I would think if we get a weekly close under 101 area,then yes it should follow thru to at least 95 area.Then possibly 88ish.There is also the potential for another bounce from here if 101 holds.What I would actually like to see is more of a slanted head and shoulder pattern like the one I originally anticipated.Everyone see's the neckline as that straight line across the 104-105 area.I would like to think more that the neckline is just forming here at 101,then possibly bounce back to create another shoulder.Keep in mind that patterns can form within patterns.Watch weekly closes over next few weeks for direction.This area of 101 is a larger confluence area,coinciding with a longer fib retracement,a moving average,and a prior support area.Look for over/under here.

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

SPY Pattern

In reference to my previous post here ,seems to be slowly playing out.This is anticipating a pattern that has not completed yet and will take weeks or more to form.I'm watching to see if spy gets to 101 area to form a neckline,then possibly form the right shoulder of what is appearing to be a head and shoulder bearish pattern,but we'll see in time.

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Areas to watch

The markets are getting sold off as I write this.Areas to watch on the SPY are here at 108,105(tail of the flash crash,and a measured move of the wedge that was formed and now playing out.),102-101 coincides with the 100sma and 38% retrace of the entire rally from 2009and last,but not least,around 95 which would be a 50% retrace of the "rally".Keeping in mind that patterns take time to form,and that all technical analysis can get thrown out the window during "crashes" these are general areas to watch and see how price acts around them. On the upside 112-115 will be an area to contend with,but I think at some point we could see that spy 95 area.Have to see how things play out over time,probably next 1-3 months.

Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Favorite Quotes

“It never was my thinking that made big money for me. It was always my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight! ” Jesse Livermore

"One common adage...that is completely wrongheaded is: You can"t go broke taking profits. That's precisely how many traders do go broke. While amateurs go broke by taking large losses,professionals go broke by taking small profits." Bill Eckhardt

Wednesday, March 31, 2010

EMINI



uptrend remains intact at this point until proven otherwise